Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a low probability for Gold (XAUUSD) surpassing $4,800 in May 2026, with implied odds reflecting downside momentum after spot prices retreated to $4,613 per ounce amid hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—which strengthened the US Dollar Index to 99.07 and lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.52%, curbing Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and elevating real yields that pressure non-yielding bullion. With $404,000 in volume, the market has locked in 100% certainty on hitting $4,600 already, but only 41% for $4,800 amid resilient retail sales signaling economic strength. Key catalysts ahead include May FOMC minutes on May 20, upcoming PPI data, and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, alongside June 10 May CPI release, which could dictate rebound potential versus further supports at $4,585.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?
$418,832 Wol.
↑ $5,400
2%
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5,200
2%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ $5,000
7%
↑ $4,900
14%
↑ $4,850
16%
↑ $4,800
25%
↓ $4,600
100%
↓ $4,550
100%
↓ $4,500
75%
↓ $4,400
25%
↓ $4,300
9%
↓ $4,200
5%
↓ $4,100
1%
$418,832 Wol.
↑ $5,400
2%
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5,200
2%
↑ $5,100
2%
↑ $5,000
7%
↑ $4,900
14%
↑ $4,850
16%
↑ $4,800
25%
↓ $4,600
100%
↓ $4,550
100%
↓ $4,500
75%
↓ $4,400
25%
↓ $4,300
9%
↓ $4,200
5%
↓ $4,100
1%
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a low probability for Gold (XAUUSD) surpassing $4,800 in May 2026, with implied odds reflecting downside momentum after spot prices retreated to $4,613 per ounce amid hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—which strengthened the US Dollar Index to 99.07 and lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.52%, curbing Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations and elevating real yields that pressure non-yielding bullion. With $404,000 in volume, the market has locked in 100% certainty on hitting $4,600 already, but only 41% for $4,800 amid resilient retail sales signaling economic strength. Key catalysts ahead include May FOMC minutes on May 20, upcoming PPI data, and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, alongside June 10 May CPI release, which could dictate rebound potential versus further supports at $4,585.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania