Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 Wol.
$68,505 Wol.
20°C or below
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 Wol.
$68,505 Wol.
20°C or below
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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