Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for São Paulo on May 18, driven by typical May cooling patterns in southeastern Brazil as the austral autumn progresses. Ensemble predictions show modest diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds, with minimum temperatures around 14°C supporting moderate daytime peaks. Historical climatology places May averages at 21–23°C highs, but current guidance suggests slightly below-normal conditions due to transient moisture influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 20°C because model consensus clusters tightly there, while nearby 19°C and 21°C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passages or insolation variations before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 18?
20°C 33%
19°C 28%
21°C 24%
18°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
7%
19°C
28%
20°C
33%
21°C
24%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
19°C 28%
21°C 24%
18°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$133 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$75 Wol.
2%
17°C
$13 Wol.
5%
18°C
$13 Wol.
7%
19°C
$16 Wol.
28%
20°C
$10 Wol.
33%
21°C
$5 Wol.
24%
22°C
$32 Wol.
7%
23°C
$49 Wol.
3%
24°C
$71 Wol.
3%
25°C or higher
$109 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for São Paulo on May 18, driven by typical May cooling patterns in southeastern Brazil as the austral autumn progresses. Ensemble predictions show modest diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds, with minimum temperatures around 14°C supporting moderate daytime peaks. Historical climatology places May averages at 21–23°C highs, but current guidance suggests slightly below-normal conditions due to transient moisture influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 20°C because model consensus clusters tightly there, while nearby 19°C and 21°C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passages or insolation variations before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$526Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for São Paulo on May 18, driven by typical May cooling patterns in southeastern Brazil as the austral autumn progresses. Ensemble predictions show modest diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds, with minimum temperatures around 14°C supporting moderate daytime peaks. Historical climatology places May averages at 21–23°C highs, but current guidance suggests slightly below-normal conditions due to transient moisture influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 20°C because model consensus clusters tightly there, while nearby 19°C and 21°C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passages or insolation variations before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$526Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for São Paulo on May 18, driven by typical May cooling patterns in southeastern Brazil as the austral autumn progresses. Ensemble predictions show modest diurnal warming under variable cloud cover and light easterly winds, with minimum temperatures around 14°C supporting moderate daytime peaks. Historical climatology places May averages at 21–23°C highs, but current guidance suggests slightly below-normal conditions due to transient moisture influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 20°C because model consensus clusters tightly there, while nearby 19°C and 21°C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passages or insolation variations before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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