National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 17?
64°F or higher 99.7%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
NOWE
$51,046 Wol.
NOWE
$51,046 Wol.
May 17, 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64°F or higher
100%
64°F or higher 99.7%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
NOWE
$51,046 Wol.
NOWE
$51,046 Wol.
May 17, 2026
45°F or below
$7,898 Wol.
<1%
46-47°F
$961 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$2,595 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,668 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,929 Wol.
<1%
54-55°F
$6,027 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,535 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$3,438 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,618 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,942 Wol.
<1%
64°F or higher
$10,443 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,046Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$51,046Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a daytime high well above 64°F for Chicago on May 17, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that favors readings near the climatological normal of 70.9°F at O’Hare International Airport. This atmospheric setup, supported by stable steering patterns over the Midwest, underpins the market’s near-certain consensus for the 64°F-or-higher outcome while reflecting historical May temperature distributions. Only an unforecast sharp cold-air intrusion or major model error could realistically produce a lower maximum, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and consistent guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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