Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
21°C 39%
20°C 25%
22°C 21%
19°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 39%
20°C 25%
22°C 21%
19°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$425 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$633 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$221 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$448 Wol.
1%
18°C
$149 Wol.
3%
19°C
$637 Wol.
9%
20°C
$1,212 Wol.
25%
21°C
$555 Wol.
39%
22°C
$490 Wol.
21%
23°C
$213 Wol.
5%
24°C or higher
$408 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,345Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$5,345Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Ankara on May 16 at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast consensus from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, which project highs of 21–22°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This follows May 15's cooler high around 17–18°C amid drizzle and overcast conditions at Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source—marking a brief departure from mid-May climatological norms of 21–22°C averages amid a cooler-than-normal May 2026 (monthly mean 12.5°C vs. 16.5°C). Clearing high-pressure systems and low precipitation odds (0–4%) support mild warming, though short-term cloud variability or evening observations could shift outcomes; updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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