Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 16%
NOWE
$12,761 Wol.
NOWE
$12,761 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
20°C 26%
18°C 21%
21°C 16%
NOWE
$12,761 Wol.
NOWE
$12,761 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$666 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$365 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$978 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$800 Wol.
1%
17°C
$666 Wol.
5%
18°C
$1,360 Wol.
21%
19°C
$1,783 Wol.
37%
20°C
$999 Wol.
26%
21°C
$1,680 Wol.
16%
22°C
$1,707 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$1,776 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,761Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$12,761Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACLatest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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