Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
18%
16°C
23%
17°C
32%
18°C
22%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
9%
17°C 32%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
$100 Wol.
1%
11°C
$5 Wol.
1%
12°C
$15 Wol.
2%
13°C
$2 Wol.
2%
14°C
$0 Wol.
7%
15°C
$0 Wol.
18%
16°C
$0 Wol.
23%
17°C
$5 Wol.
32%
18°C
$0 Wol.
22%
19°C
$2 Wol.
13%
20°C or higher
$44 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$172Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$172Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent weather model consensus from regional forecasting centers indicates a likely daily maximum near 16–17°C in Ankara on May 18, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of any passing frontal boundary, with drier air masses favoring the central range while any increased moisture could suppress peaks below 15°C. Historical May climatology places average maxima around 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern represents a cooler-than-normal deviation. Traders weigh these variables against potential model updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours, which could shift implied probabilities if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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