Environment Canada’s latest forecast pins Toronto’s May 16 high at 23°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly at 22–24°C (20–22% each) and reflecting GFS and ECMWF model consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario. Recent volatility—including a cool 16°C high on May 13 amid passing fronts—has shifted to stabilizing high pressure, but a 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 22°C via cloud-induced suppression or allowing 24°C if skies clear early for peak solar heating. Diurnal timing at official stations like Pearson Airport and urban heat effects further differentiate outcomes; watch tomorrow’s model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
23°C 17%
19°C 12.8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
23°C 17%
19°C 12.8%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
17%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest forecast pins Toronto’s May 16 high at 23°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering tightly at 22–24°C (20–22% each) and reflecting GFS and ECMWF model consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario. Recent volatility—including a cool 16°C high on May 13 amid passing fronts—has shifted to stabilizing high pressure, but a 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 22°C via cloud-induced suppression or allowing 24°C if skies clear early for peak solar heating. Diurnal timing at official stations like Pearson Airport and urban heat effects further differentiate outcomes; watch tomorrow’s model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania