Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$121,725 Wol.
$121,725 Wol.
May 14, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$121,725 Wol.
$121,725 Wol.
May 14, 2026
15°C or below
$2,272 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,363 Wol.
No
17°C
$3,548 Wol.
No
18°C
$9,167 Wol.
No
19°C
$10,724 Wol.
No
20°C
$25,407 Wol.
No
21°C
$19,155 Wol.
No
22°C
$15,350 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$12,707 Wol.
No
24°C
$10,533 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$11,498 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$121,725Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$121,725Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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