The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 15, projects a maximum temperature of 24–27°C on May 17 amid a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fostering cloudy conditions, frequent morning showers, isolated thunderstorms, and high relative humidity (80–95%), which limits solar heating and daytime highs. This follows May 14's observed 29.2°C peak, but east-southeast winds force 4–5 introduce maritime cooling, with model consensus showing tight clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in shower persistence and cloud cover—less rain could allow 28°C or higher, while sustained overcast favors 25–26°C. Traders reflect this short-range forecast variability, with daily updates from HKO expected to refine odds as the trough evolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
27°C 38%
28°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C or higher 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C or higher
10%
27°C 38%
28°C 26%
26°C 25%
29°C or higher 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 15, projects a maximum temperature of 24–27°C on May 17 amid a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fostering cloudy conditions, frequent morning showers, isolated thunderstorms, and high relative humidity (80–95%), which limits solar heating and daytime highs. This follows May 14's observed 29.2°C peak, but east-southeast winds force 4–5 introduce maritime cooling, with model consensus showing tight clustering around 25–28°C due to uncertainty in shower persistence and cloud cover—less rain could allow 28°C or higher, while sustained overcast favors 25–26°C. Traders reflect this short-range forecast variability, with daily updates from HKO expected to refine odds as the trough evolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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