Manila’s May climatology places average daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C, with May 17’s market odds reflecting trader consensus around a narrow band of 34–35°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating. Recent PAGASA observations show consecutive days peaking at 34–36°C under mostly clear skies, while model guidance indicates limited convective cloud cover that could cap the extreme high near 35°C without triggering widespread afternoon thunderstorms. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila further support the slight edge for 35°C, yet any strengthening easterly flow or earlier monsoon moisture could suppress the peak by 1°C, keeping the closely matched probabilities aligned with the latest forecast variability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 17?
35°C 45%
34°C 36%
33°C 13%
36°C 1.8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
13%
34°C
36%
35°C
45%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
34°C 36%
33°C 13%
36°C 1.8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
$1,170 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$520 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$474 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$354 Wol.
1%
33°C
$652 Wol.
13%
34°C
$495 Wol.
36%
35°C
$677 Wol.
45%
36°C
$970 Wol.
2%
37°C
$546 Wol.
2%
38°C
$302 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$233 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Manila’s May climatology places average daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C, with May 17’s market odds reflecting trader consensus around a narrow band of 34–35°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating. Recent PAGASA observations show consecutive days peaking at 34–36°C under mostly clear skies, while model guidance indicates limited convective cloud cover that could cap the extreme high near 35°C without triggering widespread afternoon thunderstorms. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila further support the slight edge for 35°C, yet any strengthening easterly flow or earlier monsoon moisture could suppress the peak by 1°C, keeping the closely matched probabilities aligned with the latest forecast variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,367Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Manila’s May climatology places average daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C, with May 17’s market odds reflecting trader consensus around a narrow band of 34–35°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating. Recent PAGASA observations show consecutive days peaking at 34–36°C under mostly clear skies, while model guidance indicates limited convective cloud cover that could cap the extreme high near 35°C without triggering widespread afternoon thunderstorms. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila further support the slight edge for 35°C, yet any strengthening easterly flow or earlier monsoon moisture could suppress the peak by 1°C, keeping the closely matched probabilities aligned with the latest forecast variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$6,367Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLManila’s May climatology places average daily maximum temperatures at 33–34°C, with May 17’s market odds reflecting trader consensus around a narrow band of 34–35°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and strong solar heating. Recent PAGASA observations show consecutive days peaking at 34–36°C under mostly clear skies, while model guidance indicates limited convective cloud cover that could cap the extreme high near 35°C without triggering widespread afternoon thunderstorms. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila further support the slight edge for 35°C, yet any strengthening easterly flow or earlier monsoon moisture could suppress the peak by 1°C, keeping the closely matched probabilities aligned with the latest forecast variability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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