Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?
88°F or higher 84%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 3.8%
82-83°F 3.6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
16%
88°F or higher
76%
88°F or higher 84%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 3.8%
82-83°F 3.6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
69°F or below
$506 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$500 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$500 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$425 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$430 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$385 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
3%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
4%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
16%
88°F or higher
$30 Wol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,776Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,776Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSTrader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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