Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 89°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly winds for efficient daytime heating—driving the market's 94% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin Camp Mabry show fair conditions starting at 71°F with 81% humidity, consistent with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, showing minimal cloud cover or convective interference. May climatology averages highs around 86°F, but the ridge supports above-normal readings akin to recent warming trends. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks in the low 80s, though current guidance deems this unlikely; afternoon hourly updates from NOAA stations will provide final clarity before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 97.3%
84-85°F 2.5%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,178 Wol.
$36,178 Wol.
May 15, 2026
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
97%
86°F or higher 97.3%
84-85°F 2.5%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,178 Wol.
$36,178 Wol.
May 15, 2026
72-73°F
$2,043 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,449 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,718 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,238 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,559 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,139 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,779 Wol.
3%
86°F or higher
$2,845 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 89°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly winds for efficient daytime heating—driving the market's 94% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin Camp Mabry show fair conditions starting at 71°F with 81% humidity, consistent with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, showing minimal cloud cover or convective interference. May climatology averages highs around 86°F, but the ridge supports above-normal readings akin to recent warming trends. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks in the low 80s, though current guidance deems this unlikely; afternoon hourly updates from NOAA stations will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,178Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 89°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly winds for efficient daytime heating—driving the market's 94% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin Camp Mabry show fair conditions starting at 71°F with 81% humidity, consistent with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, showing minimal cloud cover or convective interference. May climatology averages highs around 86°F, but the ridge supports above-normal readings akin to recent warming trends. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks in the low 80s, though current guidance deems this unlikely; afternoon hourly updates from NOAA stations will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$36,178Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Austin's highest temperature today reaching near 89°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft, which promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly winds for efficient daytime heating—driving the market's 94% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Morning observations at Austin Camp Mabry show fair conditions starting at 71°F with 81% humidity, consistent with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, showing minimal cloud cover or convective interference. May climatology averages highs around 86°F, but the ridge supports above-normal readings akin to recent warming trends. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or isolated thunderstorms capping peaks in the low 80s, though current guidance deems this unlikely; afternoon hourly updates from NOAA stations will provide final clarity before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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