Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 16 under a ridge of high pressure rebuilding after thunderstorms on May 10 downed trees and branches across Central Texas. This setup—featuring light southerly winds, subsidence aloft, and minimal cloud cover—positions trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher and 31% for 88-89°F, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles centering outputs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Above-normal May climatology (average high ~87°F) supports the warm bias, though lingering moisture could cap peaks at 88°F if thin clouds persist. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refined guidance on peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 48%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 8%
NOWE
$19,920 Wol.
NOWE
$19,920 Wol.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
31%
90°F or higher
48%
90°F or higher 48%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 8%
NOWE
$19,920 Wol.
NOWE
$19,920 Wol.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
$8,781 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,734 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,013 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,107 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$720 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$517 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$78 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$24 Wol.
8%
86-87°F
$147 Wol.
10%
88-89°F
$263 Wol.
31%
90°F or higher
$241 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 16 under a ridge of high pressure rebuilding after thunderstorms on May 10 downed trees and branches across Central Texas. This setup—featuring light southerly winds, subsidence aloft, and minimal cloud cover—positions trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher and 31% for 88-89°F, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles centering outputs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Above-normal May climatology (average high ~87°F) supports the warm bias, though lingering moisture could cap peaks at 88°F if thin clouds persist. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refined guidance on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,920Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 16 under a ridge of high pressure rebuilding after thunderstorms on May 10 downed trees and branches across Central Texas. This setup—featuring light southerly winds, subsidence aloft, and minimal cloud cover—positions trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher and 31% for 88-89°F, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles centering outputs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Above-normal May climatology (average high ~87°F) supports the warm bias, though lingering moisture could cap peaks at 88°F if thin clouds persist. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refined guidance on peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$19,920Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 16 under a ridge of high pressure rebuilding after thunderstorms on May 10 downed trees and branches across Central Texas. This setup—featuring light southerly winds, subsidence aloft, and minimal cloud cover—positions trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher and 31% for 88-89°F, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles centering outputs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Above-normal May climatology (average high ~87°F) supports the warm bias, though lingering moisture could cap peaks at 88°F if thin clouds persist. Watch 12z model runs and NWS updates Friday for refined guidance on peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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