Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Wol.
$204,657 Wol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Wol.
$204,657 Wol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$6,256 Wol.
No
8°C
$21,190 Wol.
No
9°C
$4,877 Wol.
No
10°C
$8,557 Wol.
No
11°C
$57,382 Wol.
No
12°C
$31,323 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$36,505 Wol.
No
14°C
$16,904 Wol.
No
15°C
$13,988 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,108 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$3,567 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$204,657Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$204,657Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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