Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 high in Paris near 16°C, reflecting a stable spring pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation that caps warming below the 18°C mid-May climatological norm. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon clearing potential create spread across model runs, with 16°C holding the slight edge at 35.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution updates and official Paris-Montsouris observations at 18:00 local time will resolve the market, while any unexpected ridge development could briefly push readings toward 17–18°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 18?
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 22%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
30%
16°C
34%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 34%
15°C 30%
17°C 22%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
9°C or below
$243 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$316 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$253 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$589 Wol.
1%
13°C
$124 Wol.
2%
14°C
$159 Wol.
11%
15°C
$125 Wol.
30%
16°C
$121 Wol.
34%
17°C
$142 Wol.
22%
18°C
$136 Wol.
4%
19°C or higher
$291 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 high in Paris near 16°C, reflecting a stable spring pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation that caps warming below the 18°C mid-May climatological norm. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon clearing potential create spread across model runs, with 16°C holding the slight edge at 35.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution updates and official Paris-Montsouris observations at 18:00 local time will resolve the market, while any unexpected ridge development could briefly push readings toward 17–18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,440Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 high in Paris near 16°C, reflecting a stable spring pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation that caps warming below the 18°C mid-May climatological norm. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon clearing potential create spread across model runs, with 16°C holding the slight edge at 35.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution updates and official Paris-Montsouris observations at 18:00 local time will resolve the market, while any unexpected ridge development could briefly push readings toward 17–18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,440Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBCurrent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place the May 18 high in Paris near 16°C, reflecting a stable spring pattern of moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and limited daytime insolation that caps warming below the 18°C mid-May climatological norm. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–17°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon clearing potential create spread across model runs, with 16°C holding the slight edge at 35.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution updates and official Paris-Montsouris observations at 18:00 local time will resolve the market, while any unexpected ridge development could briefly push readings toward 17–18°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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