Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
13°C 49%
14°C or higher 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$79,189 Wol.
$79,189 Wol.
May 14, 2026
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
49%
13°C 49%
14°C or higher 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$79,189 Wol.
$79,189 Wol.
May 14, 2026
11°C
$17,966 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$23,911 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$6,942 Wol.
49%
14°C or higher
$9,038 Wol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$79,189Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$79,189Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania