Met Office's latest forecast indicates a minimum temperature of 12°C overnight into May 19 in London, amid light rain and cloud cover from a low-pressure system nearing the UK, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 12°C (19.5% implied probability) over 11°C (18%). This reflects model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 11-13°C lows, influenced by persistent cloud preventing radiative cooling seen in recent chilly nights (7-9°C over the past week). Uncertainty stems from rain clearance timing and light winds, which could nudge the low a degree either way; historical mid-May averages hover around 10-12°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch daily 06Z/12Z updates for shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on May 19?
Lowest temperature in London on May 19?
12°C 20%
11°C 19%
10°C 16%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
6%
10°C
13%
11°C
19%
12°C
20%
13°C
7%
14°C
10%
15°C or higher
4%
12°C 20%
11°C 19%
10°C 16%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Wol.
1%
6°C
$10 Wol.
1%
7°C
$62 Wol.
4%
8°C
$25 Wol.
4%
9°C
$26 Wol.
6%
10°C
$6 Wol.
13%
11°C
$0 Wol.
19%
12°C
$0 Wol.
20%
13°C
$0 Wol.
7%
14°C
$12 Wol.
10%
15°C or higher
$18 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast indicates a minimum temperature of 12°C overnight into May 19 in London, amid light rain and cloud cover from a low-pressure system nearing the UK, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 12°C (19.5% implied probability) over 11°C (18%). This reflects model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 11-13°C lows, influenced by persistent cloud preventing radiative cooling seen in recent chilly nights (7-9°C over the past week). Uncertainty stems from rain clearance timing and light winds, which could nudge the low a degree either way; historical mid-May averages hover around 10-12°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch daily 06Z/12Z updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$169Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office's latest forecast indicates a minimum temperature of 12°C overnight into May 19 in London, amid light rain and cloud cover from a low-pressure system nearing the UK, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 12°C (19.5% implied probability) over 11°C (18%). This reflects model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 11-13°C lows, influenced by persistent cloud preventing radiative cooling seen in recent chilly nights (7-9°C over the past week). Uncertainty stems from rain clearance timing and light winds, which could nudge the low a degree either way; historical mid-May averages hover around 10-12°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch daily 06Z/12Z updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$169Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCMet Office's latest forecast indicates a minimum temperature of 12°C overnight into May 19 in London, amid light rain and cloud cover from a low-pressure system nearing the UK, closely aligning with trader consensus favoring 12°C (19.5% implied probability) over 11°C (18%). This reflects model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 11-13°C lows, influenced by persistent cloud preventing radiative cooling seen in recent chilly nights (7-9°C over the past week). Uncertainty stems from rain clearance timing and light winds, which could nudge the low a degree either way; historical mid-May averages hover around 10-12°C at Heathrow, the likely resolution site. Watch daily 06Z/12Z updates for shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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