Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a high-pressure system over southern England promoting clear skies and light winds overnight, which enhance radiative cooling and position London’s minimum temperature for May 16 firmly in the 5–7 °C range. Numerical weather models, including the UKV and ECMWF ensembles, show strong agreement on this band, with only modest spread from boundary-layer moisture variations. This setup deviates from the May climatological average low near 9 °C, reflecting cooler-than-normal Atlantic air advection. Traders’ implied probabilities cluster around 6 °C because the final Met Office reading—drawn from the London Heathrow station—will resolve within the next few hours, leaving little room for further shifts absent unexpected cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on May 16?
Lowest temperature in London on May 16?
7°C 23%
5°C 22%
8°C 19.6%
4°C 4.0%
$10,285 Wol.
$10,285 Wol.
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
19%
5°C
18%
6°C
39%
7°C
23%
8°C
11%
9°C
1%
10°C or higher
<1%
7°C 23%
5°C 22%
8°C 19.6%
4°C 4.0%
$10,285 Wol.
$10,285 Wol.
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
$343 Wol.
<1%
1°C
$905 Wol.
<1%
2°C
$280 Wol.
<1%
3°C
$262 Wol.
<1%
4°C
$266 Wol.
19%
5°C
$129 Wol.
18%
6°C
$188 Wol.
39%
7°C
$329 Wol.
23%
8°C
$421 Wol.
11%
9°C
$263 Wol.
1%
10°C or higher
$6,898 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a high-pressure system over southern England promoting clear skies and light winds overnight, which enhance radiative cooling and position London’s minimum temperature for May 16 firmly in the 5–7 °C range. Numerical weather models, including the UKV and ECMWF ensembles, show strong agreement on this band, with only modest spread from boundary-layer moisture variations. This setup deviates from the May climatological average low near 9 °C, reflecting cooler-than-normal Atlantic air advection. Traders’ implied probabilities cluster around 6 °C because the final Met Office reading—drawn from the London Heathrow station—will resolve within the next few hours, leaving little room for further shifts absent unexpected cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,285Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a high-pressure system over southern England promoting clear skies and light winds overnight, which enhance radiative cooling and position London’s minimum temperature for May 16 firmly in the 5–7 °C range. Numerical weather models, including the UKV and ECMWF ensembles, show strong agreement on this band, with only modest spread from boundary-layer moisture variations. This setup deviates from the May climatological average low near 9 °C, reflecting cooler-than-normal Atlantic air advection. Traders’ implied probabilities cluster around 6 °C because the final Met Office reading—drawn from the London Heathrow station—will resolve within the next few hours, leaving little room for further shifts absent unexpected cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,285Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office forecasts highlight a high-pressure system over southern England promoting clear skies and light winds overnight, which enhance radiative cooling and position London’s minimum temperature for May 16 firmly in the 5–7 °C range. Numerical weather models, including the UKV and ECMWF ensembles, show strong agreement on this band, with only modest spread from boundary-layer moisture variations. This setup deviates from the May climatological average low near 9 °C, reflecting cooler-than-normal Atlantic air advection. Traders’ implied probabilities cluster around 6 °C because the final Met Office reading—drawn from the London Heathrow station—will resolve within the next few hours, leaving little room for further shifts absent unexpected cloud cover.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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