Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on May 18?
Lowest temperature in London on May 18?
12°C or higher 22.0%
8°C 20%
9°C 18%
10°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
7%
8°C
16%
9°C
24%
10°C
12%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
23%
12°C or higher 22.0%
8°C 20%
9°C 18%
10°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$52 Wol.
1%
3°C
$52 Wol.
1%
4°C
$65 Wol.
1%
5°C
$244 Wol.
1%
6°C
$47 Wol.
1%
7°C
$10 Wol.
7%
8°C
$5 Wol.
16%
9°C
$15 Wol.
24%
10°C
$0 Wol.
12%
11°C
$0 Wol.
8%
12°C or higher
$81 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$571Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$571Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania