Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus indicate a daily high near 67°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution station, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that caps daytime warming along the coast. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where sea breezes often suppress peaks by 5–8°F relative to inland valleys. Recent observations show stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover through the morning, reducing the risk of rapid heating. Traders have priced the 66–67°F and 68–69°F brackets highest because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential absent a stronger offshore wind shift, while the low probability assigned to 70°F+ reflects the historical rarity of such readings under these marine influences. Updated model runs later today will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
66-67°F 50%
68-69°F 40%
64-65°F 5.8%
70-71°F 5%
$26,486 Wol.
$26,486 Wol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
5%
72°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 50%
68-69°F 40%
64-65°F 5.8%
70-71°F 5%
$26,486 Wol.
$26,486 Wol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
5%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA consensus indicate a daily high near 67°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the official resolution station, driven by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that caps daytime warming along the coast. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where sea breezes often suppress peaks by 5–8°F relative to inland valleys. Recent observations show stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and partial cloud cover through the morning, reducing the risk of rapid heating. Traders have priced the 66–67°F and 68–69°F brackets highest because ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential absent a stronger offshore wind shift, while the low probability assigned to 70°F+ reflects the historical rarity of such readings under these marine influences. Updated model runs later today will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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