Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the South Island through May 17, keeping Wellington’s daytime maximum in the 13–15 °C range. Mid-autumn climatology places the long-term average high near 14 °C at Wellington International Airport, with typical variability of ±1–2 °C under clear, light-wind conditions. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures, supporting the market’s concentration on 14 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (32 %). Ensemble guidance remains consistent in the short-range window, though minor adjustments in wind direction or coastal mixing could still shift the final reading within the 12–15 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 47%
13°C 32%
15°C 17%
12°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
32%
14°C
47%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 32%
15°C 17%
12°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$661 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$340 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$335 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$400 Wol.
1%
12°C
$167 Wol.
5%
13°C
$597 Wol.
32%
14°C
$658 Wol.
47%
15°C
$891 Wol.
17%
16°C
$1,703 Wol.
1%
17°C
$418 Wol.
1%
18°C or higher
$2,474 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the South Island through May 17, keeping Wellington’s daytime maximum in the 13–15 °C range. Mid-autumn climatology places the long-term average high near 14 °C at Wellington International Airport, with typical variability of ±1–2 °C under clear, light-wind conditions. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures, supporting the market’s concentration on 14 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (32 %). Ensemble guidance remains consistent in the short-range window, though minor adjustments in wind direction or coastal mixing could still shift the final reading within the 12–15 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,644Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the South Island through May 17, keeping Wellington’s daytime maximum in the 13–15 °C range. Mid-autumn climatology places the long-term average high near 14 °C at Wellington International Airport, with typical variability of ±1–2 °C under clear, light-wind conditions. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures, supporting the market’s concentration on 14 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (32 %). Ensemble guidance remains consistent in the short-range window, though minor adjustments in wind direction or coastal mixing could still shift the final reading within the 12–15 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,644Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over the South Island through May 17, keeping Wellington’s daytime maximum in the 13–15 °C range. Mid-autumn climatology places the long-term average high near 14 °C at Wellington International Airport, with typical variability of ±1–2 °C under clear, light-wind conditions. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress or elevate temperatures, supporting the market’s concentration on 14 °C (43 %) and 13 °C (32 %). Ensemble guidance remains consistent in the short-range window, though minor adjustments in wind direction or coastal mixing could still shift the final reading within the 12–15 °C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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