Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 42%
26°C 37%
28°C 18%
29°C 3.8%
NOWE
$36,576 Wol.
NOWE
$36,576 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
37%
27°C
42%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 37%
28°C 18%
29°C 3.8%
NOWE
$36,576 Wol.
NOWE
$36,576 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,091 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$4,546 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,053 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$6,716 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$4,342 Wol.
3%
26°C
$2,484 Wol.
37%
27°C
$2,513 Wol.
42%
28°C
$2,578 Wol.
18%
29°C
$3,434 Wol.
4%
30°C
$2,404 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$2,395 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,576Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$36,576Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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