Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 14?
11°C 33%
12°C 28%
13°C 21%
10°C 14.2%
$35,670 Wol.
$35,670 Wol.
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
14%
11°C
33%
12°C
28%
13°C
21%
14°C or higher
8%
11°C 33%
12°C 28%
13°C 21%
10°C 14.2%
$35,670 Wol.
$35,670 Wol.
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
14%
11°C
33%
12°C
28%
13°C
21%
14°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high temperature in Toronto today at 35% implied probability, closely trailed by 12°C (28%) and 13°C (21%), driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast of cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h behind a recent cold frontal passage. Morning observations near 8°C underscore post-frontal cooling, while persistent stratus clouds and enhanced boundary-layer mixing limit solar insolation and peak afternoon heating, creating razor-thin differentiation among these outcomes. Official highs from Toronto Pearson International Airport typically resolve via maximum screen-level readings; hourly updates through late afternoon will clarify if brief cloud breaks allow warmer readings near 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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