Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
25°C 36%
24°C 27%
26°C 8%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
24°C 27%
26°C 8%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$314 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$379 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$153 Wol.
1%
21°C
$118 Wol.
1%
22°C
$120 Wol.
4%
23°C
$6 Wol.
6%
24°C
$3 Wol.
27%
25°C
$35 Wol.
31%
26°C
$10 Wol.
8%
27°C
$132 Wol.
2%
28°C or higher
$261 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,531Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,531Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETEnsemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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