Trader consensus centers on 23°C as the most probable daily high for Qingdao on May 17, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS that project moderate afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies. Coastal location on the Yellow Sea anchors readings through persistent onshore flow, limiting diurnal heating and keeping values clustered between 21°C and 25°C. Key variables include subtle shifts in low-level wind direction that could either enhance marine cooling or allow brief inland warming, along with variable cloud cover that modulates solar radiation. Historical mid-May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows typical highs of 18–23°C, placing the current market distribution squarely within expected variability. Final resolution awaits official observations from the Qingdao station tomorrow evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 17?
23°C 27%
21°C 16.0%
24°C 14%
22°C 13.7%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 27%
21°C 16.0%
24°C 14%
22°C 13.7%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDTrader consensus centers on 23°C as the most probable daily high for Qingdao on May 17, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS that project moderate afternoon temperatures under partly cloudy skies. Coastal location on the Yellow Sea anchors readings through persistent onshore flow, limiting diurnal heating and keeping values clustered between 21°C and 25°C. Key variables include subtle shifts in low-level wind direction that could either enhance marine cooling or allow brief inland warming, along with variable cloud cover that modulates solar radiation. Historical mid-May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows typical highs of 18–23°C, placing the current market distribution squarely within expected variability. Final resolution awaits official observations from the Qingdao station tomorrow evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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