Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 15?
20°C 39%
19°C 37%
21°C 20%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
37%
20°C
39%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 37%
21°C 20%
18°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
14°C or below
$767 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$497 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$492 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$502 Wol.
1%
18°C
$1,024 Wol.
6%
19°C
$756 Wol.
37%
20°C
$544 Wol.
39%
21°C
$782 Wol.
20%
22°C
$723 Wol.
3%
23°C
$340 Wol.
1%
24°C or higher
$489 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,687Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$6,687Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 19–20°C for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest guidance showing daytime highs near 20°C under partly cloudy skies following recent heavy rainfall and gale-force winds through May 12 that cooled the region. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit minor divergence, with 19°C favored if lingering low clouds or stronger southerly sea breezes suppress peaks, versus 20°C under faster clearing and light winds—historical May averages of 19–20°C provide baseline support amid autumn cooling trends. SAWS updates today and tomorrow's observations will clarify as resolution nears via official airport measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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