Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
33°C or higher 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C or higher
28%
33°C or higher 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$60 Wol.
1%
26°C
$10 Wol.
3%
27°C
$5 Wol.
4%
28°C
$5 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
16%
30°C
$0 Wol.
16%
31°C
$0 Wol.
22%
32°C
$0 Wol.
23%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$90Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$90Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 33°C or higher at 49.5% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on May 17, driven by National Weather Service extended forecasts and global model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting daytime highs in the upper 88–92°F range (31–33°C) amid a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. Recent 48-hour model updates have trended slightly warmer, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and low humidity enhancing solar heating potential above May climatological averages of 28–29°C. Lower outcomes like 31–32°C (20.5% each) reflect uncertainty in sea-breeze timing and minor convective interference, while sub-30°C probabilities remain low. Watch for the NWS 12z forecast discussion on May 16, which could shift model consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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