Current forecast models from regional meteorological services highlight a dry continental air mass advecting into Panama City combined with peak solar insolation near the May equinox, driving daily maximum temperatures toward 34–35°C. This setup has elevated trader consensus on the 33°C-or-higher outcome to 72% implied probability, well above the climatological May baseline of roughly 31°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover and weak trade winds that reduce convective cooling, sustaining the heat signal through the afternoon peak. Official observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will determine resolution later today, with any unexpected moisture influx the primary variable that could shift outcomes toward 32°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 16?
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
30°C <1%
$10,911 Wol.
$10,911 Wol.
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
72%
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
30°C <1%
$10,911 Wol.
$10,911 Wol.
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services highlight a dry continental air mass advecting into Panama City combined with peak solar insolation near the May equinox, driving daily maximum temperatures toward 34–35°C. This setup has elevated trader consensus on the 33°C-or-higher outcome to 72% implied probability, well above the climatological May baseline of roughly 31°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover and weak trade winds that reduce convective cooling, sustaining the heat signal through the afternoon peak. Official observations at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will determine resolution later today, with any unexpected moisture influx the primary variable that could shift outcomes toward 32°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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