Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
26°C or higher 96.6%
25°C 2.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
$15,295 Wol.
NOWE
$15,295 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 96.6%
25°C 2.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
$15,295 Wol.
NOWE
$15,295 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$1,256 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$2,148 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,954 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$3,210 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$847 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,153 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,013 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$692 Wol.
1%
24°C
$851 Wol.
1%
25°C
$1,393 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$779 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,295Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,295Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXTraders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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