Recent forecasts from Mexico's meteorological service and international models project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 26°C, and follows recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 amid a warming trend after early-month peaks near 33°C. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from isolated afternoon showers, keeping the probability of sub-27°C outcomes low while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Traders view the 85% implied odds for 27°C or higher as reflecting these stable late-spring conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 18?
27°C or higher 81%
26°C 8%
25°C 7%
24°C 1.4%
NOWE
$11,045 Wol.
NOWE
$11,045 Wol.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
81%
27°C or higher 81%
26°C 8%
25°C 7%
24°C 1.4%
NOWE
$11,045 Wol.
NOWE
$11,045 Wol.
May 18, 2026
17°C or below
$1,857 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$4,571 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$533 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$436 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$283 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$494 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$552 Wol.
1%
24°C
$507 Wol.
1%
25°C
$889 Wol.
7%
26°C
$558 Wol.
8%
27°C or higher
$364 Wol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Mexico's meteorological service and international models project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 26°C, and follows recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 amid a warming trend after early-month peaks near 33°C. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from isolated afternoon showers, keeping the probability of sub-27°C outcomes low while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Traders view the 85% implied odds for 27°C or higher as reflecting these stable late-spring conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,045Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Mexico's meteorological service and international models project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 26°C, and follows recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 amid a warming trend after early-month peaks near 33°C. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from isolated afternoon showers, keeping the probability of sub-27°C outcomes low while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Traders view the 85% implied odds for 27°C or higher as reflecting these stable late-spring conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,045Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXRecent forecasts from Mexico's meteorological service and international models project daytime highs of 27–29°C for Mexico City on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure systems that favor clear skies and enhanced solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 26°C, and follows recent observations of 26–29°C on May 14–15 amid a warming trend after early-month peaks near 33°C. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from isolated afternoon showers, keeping the probability of sub-27°C outcomes low while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in convective activity. Traders view the 85% implied odds for 27°C or higher as reflecting these stable late-spring conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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