Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
NOWE
$25,907 Wol.
NOWE
$25,907 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.2%
NOWE
$25,907 Wol.
NOWE
$25,907 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$506 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$5,142 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,903 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,437 Wol.
13%
19°C
$1,318 Wol.
36%
20°C
$1,449 Wol.
29%
21°C
$1,103 Wol.
20%
22°C
$1,923 Wol.
3%
23°C or higher
$3,765 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,907Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$25,907Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles points to a Beijing high near 20°C on May 17, shaped by a weak cold front that brings northerly flow, scattered light rain, and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime solar heating. This setup caps peak temperatures while allowing modest warming if the front passes earlier and skies partially clear. Sustained overcast would instead favor readings at or below 19°C, whereas any delay in cloud development could briefly reach 21–22°C. The tight clustering of 19–21°C market-implied odds reflects these timing uncertainties in the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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