Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 38%
15°C 27%
13°C 23%
17°C 10.3%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
33%
15°C
27%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 38%
15°C 27%
13°C 23%
17°C 10.3%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
$367 Wol.
1%
10°C
$8 Wol.
3%
11°C
$18 Wol.
4%
12°C
$14 Wol.
8%
13°C
$15 Wol.
18%
14°C
$47 Wol.
33%
15°C
$38 Wol.
27%
16°C
$2 Wol.
7%
17°C
$14 Wol.
10%
18°C
$5 Wol.
1%
19°C or higher
$162 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$689Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$689Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 13–15°C at 19–22% each, as southerly winds advect cooler polar air following a recent autumnal cold front. BBC Weather's latest 14-day outlook pegs the high at 15°C under sunny intervals and gentle southerly breezes (9 mph), aligning with typical mid-May cooling trends where regional highs average 17°C but drop amid such flows. Differentiating factors include morning cloud persistence reducing solar heating, boundary layer stability limiting mixing, and frontal passage timing; GFS/ECMWF ensembles show spread of 12–16°C. Monitor Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and Ezeiza Airport observations for resolution shifts before midday peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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