National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 Wol.
$32,732 Wol.
May 16, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 Wol.
$32,732 Wol.
May 16, 2026
37°F or below
$8,654 Wol.
No
38-39°F
$2,071 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$2,902 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$1,326 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$1,673 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$1,677 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$1,759 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$2,226 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$2,009 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$2,099 Wol.
No
56°F or higher
$6,336 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,732Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$32,732Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania