Global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a 19°C nocturnal minimum for Shanghai on May 16, underpinning the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable springtime high pressure, light southeast winds under 12 km/h, and overcast skies suppress radiative cooling while limiting cold-air advection, anchoring overnight lows near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C at official stations such as Shanghai Pudong. Surface observations from recent nights confirm this narrow range. Resolution could shift only if an unforecasted clearing allows stronger radiative cooling or an unexpected trough introduces cooler maritime air, though current model spread remains minimal through the overnight window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
19°C 99.0%
18°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,057 Wol.
$35,057 Wol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.0%
18°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,057 Wol.
$35,057 Wol.
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$3,076 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$3,188 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$1,499 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$2,755 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$890 Wol.
2%
19°C
$1,437 Wol.
99%
20°C
$9,638 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$485 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$615 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,068 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$10,405 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a 19°C nocturnal minimum for Shanghai on May 16, underpinning the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable springtime high pressure, light southeast winds under 12 km/h, and overcast skies suppress radiative cooling while limiting cold-air advection, anchoring overnight lows near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C at official stations such as Shanghai Pudong. Surface observations from recent nights confirm this narrow range. Resolution could shift only if an unforecasted clearing allows stronger radiative cooling or an unexpected trough introduces cooler maritime air, though current model spread remains minimal through the overnight window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,057Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a 19°C nocturnal minimum for Shanghai on May 16, underpinning the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable springtime high pressure, light southeast winds under 12 km/h, and overcast skies suppress radiative cooling while limiting cold-air advection, anchoring overnight lows near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C at official stations such as Shanghai Pudong. Surface observations from recent nights confirm this narrow range. Resolution could shift only if an unforecasted clearing allows stronger radiative cooling or an unexpected trough introduces cooler maritime air, though current model spread remains minimal through the overnight window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$35,057Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDGlobal model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a 19°C nocturnal minimum for Shanghai on May 16, underpinning the market's 99% implied probability for that exact outcome. Stable springtime high pressure, light southeast winds under 12 km/h, and overcast skies suppress radiative cooling while limiting cold-air advection, anchoring overnight lows near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C at official stations such as Shanghai Pudong. Surface observations from recent nights confirm this narrow range. Resolution could shift only if an unforecasted clearing allows stronger radiative cooling or an unexpected trough introduces cooler maritime air, though current model spread remains minimal through the overnight window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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