The closely bunched probabilities for 13–16°C capture the modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s overnight minimum on May 18. Recent global model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show light westerly flow and partial cloud cover that should permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C, yet boundary-layer mixing and weak warm advection introduce one- to two-degree uncertainty. Climatological May lows in Seoul average around 13°C, but the current pattern sits slightly above that baseline, keeping the modal outcomes clustered in the mid-teens. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the final observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
15°C 21%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
21%
16°C
12%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
1%
15°C 21%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
$122 Wol.
1%
12°C
$81 Wol.
4%
13°C
$29 Wol.
19%
14°C
$18 Wol.
20%
15°C
$24 Wol.
21%
16°C
$15 Wol.
12%
17°C
$369 Wol.
3%
18°C
$167 Wol.
1%
19°C
$112 Wol.
1%
20°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$152 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely bunched probabilities for 13–16°C capture the modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s overnight minimum on May 18. Recent global model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show light westerly flow and partial cloud cover that should permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C, yet boundary-layer mixing and weak warm advection introduce one- to two-degree uncertainty. Climatological May lows in Seoul average around 13°C, but the current pattern sits slightly above that baseline, keeping the modal outcomes clustered in the mid-teens. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the final observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,214Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely bunched probabilities for 13–16°C capture the modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s overnight minimum on May 18. Recent global model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show light westerly flow and partial cloud cover that should permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C, yet boundary-layer mixing and weak warm advection introduce one- to two-degree uncertainty. Climatological May lows in Seoul average around 13°C, but the current pattern sits slightly above that baseline, keeping the modal outcomes clustered in the mid-teens. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the final observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,214Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe closely bunched probabilities for 13–16°C capture the modest spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s overnight minimum on May 18. Recent global model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF show light westerly flow and partial cloud cover that should permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C, yet boundary-layer mixing and weak warm advection introduce one- to two-degree uncertainty. Climatological May lows in Seoul average around 13°C, but the current pattern sits slightly above that baseline, keeping the modal outcomes clustered in the mid-teens. New 00Z and 12Z model updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the final observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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