The closely matched probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C reflect the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast of a minimum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Springtime radiative cooling at night will compete with residual daytime heat and modest warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, keeping the low in the mid-teens unless stronger northerly winds or clearer conditions allow extra surface heat loss. Mid-May climatology for Seoul places average overnight lows between 12°C and 18°C, with the median near 14–15°C, so traders weigh the risk of a slightly cooler air mass against the current model consensus. The final official reading, taken between 03:00 and 09:00 local time tomorrow, will settle the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 37%
15°C 34%
16°C 20%
13°C 12.0%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
20%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 37%
15°C 34%
16°C 20%
13°C 12.0%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
20%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe closely matched probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C reflect the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast of a minimum near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Springtime radiative cooling at night will compete with residual daytime heat and modest warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea, keeping the low in the mid-teens unless stronger northerly winds or clearer conditions allow extra surface heat loss. Mid-May climatology for Seoul places average overnight lows between 12°C and 18°C, with the median near 14–15°C, so traders weigh the risk of a slightly cooler air mass against the current model consensus. The final official reading, taken between 03:00 and 09:00 local time tomorrow, will settle the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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