Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models show Moscow on track for a daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18, driven by a southwesterly flow of warmer air ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling, pushing maximum readings above the mid-May climatological average of 18–20 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and any brief showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C. With the primary warm-air advection already established, later model updates through the next 48 hours will determine whether the temperature edges into the low 30s or settles closer to 27 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
31°C or higher 15%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
24%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
15%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
31°C or higher 15%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$574 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$446 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$732 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$615 Wol.
3%
25°C
$366 Wol.
2%
26°C
$182 Wol.
9%
27°C
$166 Wol.
19%
28°C
$161 Wol.
19%
29°C
$136 Wol.
24%
30°C
$79 Wol.
13%
31°C or higher
$157 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models show Moscow on track for a daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18, driven by a southwesterly flow of warmer air ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling, pushing maximum readings above the mid-May climatological average of 18–20 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and any brief showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C. With the primary warm-air advection already established, later model updates through the next 48 hours will determine whether the temperature edges into the low 30s or settles closer to 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,593Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European and U.S. models show Moscow on track for a daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18, driven by a southwesterly flow of warmer air ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling, pushing maximum readings above the mid-May climatological average of 18–20 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and any brief showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C. With the primary warm-air advection already established, later model updates through the next 48 hours will determine whether the temperature edges into the low 30s or settles closer to 27 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,593Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from European and U.S. models show Moscow on track for a daytime high near 28–29 °C on May 18, driven by a southwesterly flow of warmer air ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This setup favors partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling, pushing maximum readings above the mid-May climatological average of 18–20 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover timing and any brief showers that could cap the peak by 1–2 °C. With the primary warm-air advection already established, later model updates through the next 48 hours will determine whether the temperature edges into the low 30s or settles closer to 27 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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