Recent Met Office and European model guidance has converged on a London maximum of 15–17 °C for May 17, positioning 16 °C as the market’s leading outcome with over 50% implied probability. This reflects a moderate Atlantic air mass under mostly overcast skies with light winds and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms near 17 °C. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16 °C, with minor upside risk to 17 °C if afternoon breaks in cloud cover occur and downside potential to 15 °C if showers arrive earlier than expected. Historical May maxima in central London average near 17 °C, providing context for the current forecast cluster; final resolution hinges on the official reading at London City Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
16°C 51%
17°C 25%
15°C 19%
18°C 4.7%
NOWE
$21,998 Wol.
NOWE
$21,998 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
19%
16°C
51%
17°C
25%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
17°C 25%
15°C 19%
18°C 4.7%
NOWE
$21,998 Wol.
NOWE
$21,998 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$697 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$588 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,597 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,301 Wol.
1%
14°C
$2,628 Wol.
4%
15°C
$2,053 Wol.
19%
16°C
$3,661 Wol.
51%
17°C
$3,373 Wol.
25%
18°C
$1,656 Wol.
5%
19°C
$2,227 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,402 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European model guidance has converged on a London maximum of 15–17 °C for May 17, positioning 16 °C as the market’s leading outcome with over 50% implied probability. This reflects a moderate Atlantic air mass under mostly overcast skies with light winds and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms near 17 °C. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16 °C, with minor upside risk to 17 °C if afternoon breaks in cloud cover occur and downside potential to 15 °C if showers arrive earlier than expected. Historical May maxima in central London average near 17 °C, providing context for the current forecast cluster; final resolution hinges on the official reading at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,998Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European model guidance has converged on a London maximum of 15–17 °C for May 17, positioning 16 °C as the market’s leading outcome with over 50% implied probability. This reflects a moderate Atlantic air mass under mostly overcast skies with light winds and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms near 17 °C. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16 °C, with minor upside risk to 17 °C if afternoon breaks in cloud cover occur and downside potential to 15 °C if showers arrive earlier than expected. Historical May maxima in central London average near 17 °C, providing context for the current forecast cluster; final resolution hinges on the official reading at London City Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$21,998Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and European model guidance has converged on a London maximum of 15–17 °C for May 17, positioning 16 °C as the market’s leading outcome with over 50% implied probability. This reflects a moderate Atlantic air mass under mostly overcast skies with light winds and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below seasonal norms near 17 °C. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16 °C, with minor upside risk to 17 °C if afternoon breaks in cloud cover occur and downside potential to 15 °C if showers arrive earlier than expected. Historical May maxima in central London average near 17 °C, providing context for the current forecast cluster; final resolution hinges on the official reading at London City Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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