Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs point to a maximum near 15–16 °C in London on May 18, with a southwesterly flow drawing milder Atlantic air under variable cloud and isolated showers. This places the outcome close to the mid-May climatological mean of 16–17 °C, yet recent UK spring patterns have trended cooler than average, increasing the chance of modest suppression from lingering frontal activity. Ensemble spread remains modest, with afternoon clearing or thicker cloud cover the main variables that could nudge readings to 14 °C or 17 °C. Next high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 30%
16°C 27%
14°C 26%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
26%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
5%
15°C 30%
16°C 27%
14°C 26%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$303 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$512 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$485 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$693 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$216 Wol.
3%
13°C
$313 Wol.
6%
14°C
$311 Wol.
26%
15°C
$290 Wol.
30%
16°C
$377 Wol.
27%
17°C
$300 Wol.
13%
18°C or higher
$268 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs point to a maximum near 15–16 °C in London on May 18, with a southwesterly flow drawing milder Atlantic air under variable cloud and isolated showers. This places the outcome close to the mid-May climatological mean of 16–17 °C, yet recent UK spring patterns have trended cooler than average, increasing the chance of modest suppression from lingering frontal activity. Ensemble spread remains modest, with afternoon clearing or thicker cloud cover the main variables that could nudge readings to 14 °C or 17 °C. Next high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,030Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs point to a maximum near 15–16 °C in London on May 18, with a southwesterly flow drawing milder Atlantic air under variable cloud and isolated showers. This places the outcome close to the mid-May climatological mean of 16–17 °C, yet recent UK spring patterns have trended cooler than average, increasing the chance of modest suppression from lingering frontal activity. Ensemble spread remains modest, with afternoon clearing or thicker cloud cover the main variables that could nudge readings to 14 °C or 17 °C. Next high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,030Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs point to a maximum near 15–16 °C in London on May 18, with a southwesterly flow drawing milder Atlantic air under variable cloud and isolated showers. This places the outcome close to the mid-May climatological mean of 16–17 °C, yet recent UK spring patterns have trended cooler than average, increasing the chance of modest suppression from lingering frontal activity. Ensemble spread remains modest, with afternoon clearing or thicker cloud cover the main variables that could nudge readings to 14 °C or 17 °C. Next high-resolution model updates and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania