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Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?

icon for Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?

Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?

$521,205 Wol.

Jul 30, 2026
Polymarket

$521,205 Wol.

Polymarket

Jacob Tsimerman

$54,107 Wol.

80%

Hong Wang

$74,009 Wol.

57%

Jack Thorne

$100,538 Wol.

53%

Alexander Efimov

$530 Wol.

43%

Will Sawin

$3,941 Wol.

42%

John Pardon

$84,045 Wol.

30%

Yu Deng

$116,738 Wol.

32%

Julian Sahasrabudhe

$84,519 Wol.

28%

Sam Raskin

$2,573 Wol.

23%

Aleksandr Logunov

$205 Wol.

10%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus favors Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, propelled by her groundbreaking proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture, a long-standing problem in geometric measure theory that has generated widespread acclaim in math circles. Jacob Tsimerman's resolution of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne's advances in arithmetic Langlands further fuel speculation, with recent April 2026 Breakthrough Prize awards to Wang and other young Chinese mathematicians like Tang Yunqing amplifying campaign momentum akin to precursor signals for past winners. The International Mathematical Union's secretive selection process introduces high uncertainty, as votes from top experts remain hidden until the announcement at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, 2026—watch for last-minute endorsements or surprises in the final weeks.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$521,205
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus favors Hong Wang as the frontrunner for the 2026 Fields Medal, propelled by her groundbreaking proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture, a long-standing problem in geometric measure theory that has generated widespread acclaim in math circles. Jacob Tsimerman's resolution of the André–Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne's advances in arithmetic Langlands further fuel speculation, with recent April 2026 Breakthrough Prize awards to Wang and other young Chinese mathematicians like Tang Yunqing amplifying campaign momentum akin to precursor signals for past winners. The International Mathematical Union's secretive selection process introduces high uncertainty, as votes from top experts remain hidden until the announcement at the ICM in Philadelphia, July 23–30, 2026—watch for last-minute endorsements or surprises in the final weeks.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$521,205
Data zakończenia
Jul 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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"Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jacob Tsimerman" z 80%, za nim "Hong Wang" z 57%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 80¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?" wygenerował $521.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 6, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "Kto zdobędzie Medal Fieldsa 2026?" jest "Jacob Tsimerman" z 80%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 80% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Hong Wang" z 57%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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