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Politics·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

icon for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Politics·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWA 11.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.5%

Donald Trump 8%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Polymarket

$21,378,755 Wol.

UNRWA 11.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.5%

Donald Trump 8%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Polymarket

$21,378,755 Wol.

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,008,292 Wol.

11%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$579,029 Wol.

10%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,731,920 Wol.

8%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$207,140 Wol.

7%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$774,041 Wol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$666,401 Wol.

4%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$635,704 Wol.

2%

icon for International Court of Justice

International Court of Justice

$854,755 Wol.

2%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,397,674 Wol.

2%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,373,498 Wol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$556,164 Wol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,208,418 Wol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,108,529 Wol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,049,334 Wol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,178,023 Wol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$995,733 Wol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$788,715 Wol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$786,628 Wol.

1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$855,534 Wol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$623,301 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$21,378,755
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Wolumen
$21,378,755
Data zakończenia
Oct 10, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "UNRWA" z 11%, za nim "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" z 10%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 11¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 11% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" wygenerował $21.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 16, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" jest "UNRWA" z 11%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 11% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" z 10%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.