Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), led by President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability of winning the most seats in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament on May 17, driven by unanimous May polls projecting 54-58 seats—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 26-30 and VOX's 13-17. Recent developments, including RTVE and RTVA debates on healthcare crises and economy, reinforce PP's dominance as Moreno captures VOX voters by positioning as moderate, while PSOE-A stagnates amid national headwinds. No shifts in the past week; campaign ends May 15. Barring late scandals, guardias civiles fallout escalation, or turnout surges favoring opposition coalitions, this lead appears unassailable per polling aggregates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPP 99.4%
VOX <1%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
$92,577 Wol.
$92,577 Wol.
May 17, 2026
PP
99%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.4%
VOX <1%
PSOE-A <1%
PA <1%
$92,577 Wol.
$92,577 Wol.
May 17, 2026
PP
$28,133 Wol.
99%
PSOE-A
$30,252 Wol.
<1%
VOX
$24,647 Wol.
<1%
PA
$5,119 Wol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Wol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), led by President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability of winning the most seats in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament on May 17, driven by unanimous May polls projecting 54-58 seats—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 26-30 and VOX's 13-17. Recent developments, including RTVE and RTVA debates on healthcare crises and economy, reinforce PP's dominance as Moreno captures VOX voters by positioning as moderate, while PSOE-A stagnates amid national headwinds. No shifts in the past week; campaign ends May 15. Barring late scandals, guardias civiles fallout escalation, or turnout surges favoring opposition coalitions, this lead appears unassailable per polling aggregates.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$92,577Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), led by President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability of winning the most seats in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament on May 17, driven by unanimous May polls projecting 54-58 seats—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 26-30 and VOX's 13-17. Recent developments, including RTVE and RTVA debates on healthcare crises and economy, reinforce PP's dominance as Moreno captures VOX voters by positioning as moderate, while PSOE-A stagnates amid national headwinds. No shifts in the past week; campaign ends May 15. Barring late scandals, guardias civiles fallout escalation, or turnout surges favoring opposition coalitions, this lead appears unassailable per polling aggregates.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Wolumen
$92,577Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Partido Popular (PP), led by President Juanma Moreno, commands trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability of winning the most seats in Andalusia's 109-seat regional parliament on May 17, driven by unanimous May polls projecting 54-58 seats—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 26-30 and VOX's 13-17. Recent developments, including RTVE and RTVA debates on healthcare crises and economy, reinforce PP's dominance as Moreno captures VOX voters by positioning as moderate, while PSOE-A stagnates amid national headwinds. No shifts in the past week; campaign ends May 15. Barring late scandals, guardias civiles fallout escalation, or turnout surges favoring opposition coalitions, this lead appears unassailable per polling aggregates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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