Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 21.7%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.0%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,638,642 Wol.
$4,638,642 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
22%
Kylian Mbappé
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
17%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Lionel Messi
10%
Michael Olise
6%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 21.7%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.0%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,638,642 Wol.
$4,638,642 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$764,907 Wol.
22%
Kylian Mbappé
$179,509 Wol.
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
$589,932 Wol.
17%
Lamine Yamal
$104,768 Wol.
11%
Lionel Messi
$38,675 Wol.
10%
Michael Olise
$112,064 Wol.
6%
Vitinha
$81,754 Wol.
5%
Declan Rice
$84,883 Wol.
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$89,916 Wol.
2%
Vinícius Júnior
$486,555 Wol.
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,321 Wol.
2%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,428 Wol.
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,706 Wol.
1%
Pedri
$299,611 Wol.
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,889 Wol.
1%
Luis Diaz
$50,771 Wol.
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,863 Wol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$48,087 Wol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,484 Wol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$286,902 Wol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$417,617 Wol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$195,436 Wol.
<1%
Raphinha
$70,819 Wol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,467 Wol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,278 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,638,642Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Wolumen
$4,638,642Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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