Recent inflation readings, with August 2026 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike that widened the policy gap to 1 percentage point, underpin the near-even odds between no change and a 25 basis point hike at the Bank of Korea’s November meeting. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth, revised upward to 3.3% for 2026 on semiconductor exports, and concerns over Seoul housing prices plus household debt add to hawkish pressures. At the same time, the BOK’s August dot plot and minutes highlight caution around lagged effects of the July and August hikes to 3.00%, tilting some traders toward a pause to monitor October data before any further tightening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNo Change 47%
25 bps hike 45%
50+ bps hike 5.6%
25 bps cut <1%
$23,624 Wol.
$23,624 Wol.
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
45%
25 bps hike
45%
50+ bps hike
10%
No Change 47%
25 bps hike 45%
50+ bps hike 5.6%
25 bps cut <1%
$23,624 Wol.
$23,624 Wol.
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
45%
25 bps hike
45%
50+ bps hike
10%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation readings, with August 2026 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year and core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike that widened the policy gap to 1 percentage point, underpin the near-even odds between no change and a 25 basis point hike at the Bank of Korea’s November meeting. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth, revised upward to 3.3% for 2026 on semiconductor exports, and concerns over Seoul housing prices plus household debt add to hawkish pressures. At the same time, the BOK’s August dot plot and minutes highlight caution around lagged effects of the July and August hikes to 3.00%, tilting some traders toward a pause to monitor October data before any further tightening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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