Recent easing in underlying inflation pressures, with annual CPI at 5.7 percent and core measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range as of late April, has anchored trader consensus around another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting. Following the April 24 reduction of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—the eighth consecutive easing step—the central bank narrowed its 2026 average rate corridor to 14.0–14.5 percent, reflecting sustained disinflation and moderating inflation expectations amid cooling domestic demand. Pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties continue to limit the scope for aggressive cuts, supporting the 21 percent market-implied probability of no change. The June 19 policy meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Russia decision in July?
Bank of Russia decision in July?
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
Decrease
74%
No Change
21%
Increase
4%
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
Decrease
$355 Wol.
74%
No Change
$119 Wol.
21%
Increase
$351 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent easing in underlying inflation pressures, with annual CPI at 5.7 percent and core measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range as of late April, has anchored trader consensus around another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting. Following the April 24 reduction of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—the eighth consecutive easing step—the central bank narrowed its 2026 average rate corridor to 14.0–14.5 percent, reflecting sustained disinflation and moderating inflation expectations amid cooling domestic demand. Pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties continue to limit the scope for aggressive cuts, supporting the 21 percent market-implied probability of no change. The June 19 policy meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$824Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent easing in underlying inflation pressures, with annual CPI at 5.7 percent and core measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range as of late April, has anchored trader consensus around another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting. Following the April 24 reduction of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—the eighth consecutive easing step—the central bank narrowed its 2026 average rate corridor to 14.0–14.5 percent, reflecting sustained disinflation and moderating inflation expectations amid cooling domestic demand. Pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties continue to limit the scope for aggressive cuts, supporting the 21 percent market-implied probability of no change. The June 19 policy meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$824Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent easing in underlying inflation pressures, with annual CPI at 5.7 percent and core measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range as of late April, has anchored trader consensus around another Bank of Russia key rate cut at the July 24 meeting. Following the April 24 reduction of 50 basis points to 14.5 percent—the eighth consecutive easing step—the central bank narrowed its 2026 average rate corridor to 14.0–14.5 percent, reflecting sustained disinflation and moderating inflation expectations amid cooling domestic demand. Pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties continue to limit the scope for aggressive cuts, supporting the 21 percent market-implied probability of no change. The June 19 policy meeting and upcoming inflation releases remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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