Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and Central Military Commission underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military figures, including the January 2026 investigation of General Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced party control over the People’s Liberation Army. August 2026 gatherings at Beidaihe emphasized loyalty and discipline ahead of the 2027 National Congress, with no verified factional challenges or public instability surfacing in recent months. The closed political system and surveillance apparatus further limit organized opposition. Low-probability shifts remain possible from a sudden leadership health event, severe economic downturn prompting elite realignment, or major external shock disrupting internal dynamics before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano4% szansa
$153,752 Wol.
$153,752 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$153,752 Wol.
$153,752 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and Central Military Commission underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military figures, including the January 2026 investigation of General Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced party control over the People’s Liberation Army. August 2026 gatherings at Beidaihe emphasized loyalty and discipline ahead of the 2027 National Congress, with no verified factional challenges or public instability surfacing in recent months. The closed political system and surveillance apparatus further limit organized opposition. Low-probability shifts remain possible from a sudden leadership health event, severe economic downturn prompting elite realignment, or major external shock disrupting internal dynamics before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$153,752Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and Central Military Commission underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military figures, including the January 2026 investigation of General Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced party control over the People’s Liberation Army. August 2026 gatherings at Beidaihe emphasized loyalty and discipline ahead of the 2027 National Congress, with no verified factional challenges or public instability surfacing in recent months. The closed political system and surveillance apparatus further limit organized opposition. Low-probability shifts remain possible from a sudden leadership health event, severe economic downturn prompting elite realignment, or major external shock disrupting internal dynamics before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$153,752Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and Central Military Commission underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges targeting senior military figures, including the January 2026 investigation of General Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced party control over the People’s Liberation Army. August 2026 gatherings at Beidaihe emphasized loyalty and discipline ahead of the 2027 National Congress, with no verified factional challenges or public instability surfacing in recent months. The closed political system and surveillance apparatus further limit organized opposition. Low-probability shifts remain possible from a sudden leadership health event, severe economic downturn prompting elite realignment, or major external shock disrupting internal dynamics before the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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