Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party, People’s Liberation Army, and internal security apparatus underpins the market’s 96.8 percent pricing for no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations into senior PLA officers, including the early-2026 scrutiny of figures such as Zhang Youxia, have been read by traders as further centralization rather than factional rupture, with no verified evidence of coordinated challenges emerging from official or independent reporting. Recent diplomatic engagements, including the May 2026 framework for strategic stability with the United States, have reinforced perceptions of elite cohesion. While a sudden health crisis for the leadership or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the current institutional safeguards and surveillance mechanisms render such an outcome highly improbable within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$127,680 Wol.
$127,680 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$127,680 Wol.
$127,680 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party, People’s Liberation Army, and internal security apparatus underpins the market’s 96.8 percent pricing for no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations into senior PLA officers, including the early-2026 scrutiny of figures such as Zhang Youxia, have been read by traders as further centralization rather than factional rupture, with no verified evidence of coordinated challenges emerging from official or independent reporting. Recent diplomatic engagements, including the May 2026 framework for strategic stability with the United States, have reinforced perceptions of elite cohesion. While a sudden health crisis for the leadership or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the current institutional safeguards and surveillance mechanisms render such an outcome highly improbable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$127,680Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party, People’s Liberation Army, and internal security apparatus underpins the market’s 96.8 percent pricing for no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations into senior PLA officers, including the early-2026 scrutiny of figures such as Zhang Youxia, have been read by traders as further centralization rather than factional rupture, with no verified evidence of coordinated challenges emerging from official or independent reporting. Recent diplomatic engagements, including the May 2026 framework for strategic stability with the United States, have reinforced perceptions of elite cohesion. While a sudden health crisis for the leadership or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the current institutional safeguards and surveillance mechanisms render such an outcome highly improbable within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$127,680Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party, People’s Liberation Army, and internal security apparatus underpins the market’s 96.8 percent pricing for no coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption investigations into senior PLA officers, including the early-2026 scrutiny of figures such as Zhang Youxia, have been read by traders as further centralization rather than factional rupture, with no verified evidence of coordinated challenges emerging from official or independent reporting. Recent diplomatic engagements, including the May 2026 framework for strategic stability with the United States, have reinforced perceptions of elite cohesion. While a sudden health crisis for the leadership or an acute economic shock could theoretically create openings, the current institutional safeguards and surveillance mechanisms render such an outcome highly improbable within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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