Elon Musk's posting patterns show high day-to-day variability driven by news cycles, company milestones at Tesla and SpaceX, and real-time engagement on X. Historical averages range from roughly 25-70 tweets daily in recent years, with occasional spikes above 100 during intense periods, yet the market's strong weighting toward 40-64 tweets over the three-day span signals trader expectations of moderate rather than elevated activity. Recent short-term samples reflect consistent but not extreme output, while the compressed timeframe and potential for quieter stretches around mid-August contribute to the clear lead for lower-to-mid ranges and minimal odds on higher buckets. Upcoming platform developments or external events could still shift volume quickly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 49%
<40 33%
65-89 17%
90-114 4.4%
NOWE
$18,107 Wol.
NOWE
$18,107 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
<40
33%
40-64
49%
65-89
17%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 33%
65-89 17%
90-114 4.4%
NOWE
$18,107 Wol.
NOWE
$18,107 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
<40
$1,896 Wol.
33%
40-64
$482 Wol.
49%
65-89
$533 Wol.
17%
90-114
$941 Wol.
4%
115-139
$796 Wol.
1%
140-164
$611 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$611 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$5,008 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$3,558 Wol.
<1%
240+
$3,671 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting patterns show high day-to-day variability driven by news cycles, company milestones at Tesla and SpaceX, and real-time engagement on X. Historical averages range from roughly 25-70 tweets daily in recent years, with occasional spikes above 100 during intense periods, yet the market's strong weighting toward 40-64 tweets over the three-day span signals trader expectations of moderate rather than elevated activity. Recent short-term samples reflect consistent but not extreme output, while the compressed timeframe and potential for quieter stretches around mid-August contribute to the clear lead for lower-to-mid ranges and minimal odds on higher buckets. Upcoming platform developments or external events could still shift volume quickly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$18,107Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting patterns show high day-to-day variability driven by news cycles, company milestones at Tesla and SpaceX, and real-time engagement on X. Historical averages range from roughly 25-70 tweets daily in recent years, with occasional spikes above 100 during intense periods, yet the market's strong weighting toward 40-64 tweets over the three-day span signals trader expectations of moderate rather than elevated activity. Recent short-term samples reflect consistent but not extreme output, while the compressed timeframe and potential for quieter stretches around mid-August contribute to the clear lead for lower-to-mid ranges and minimal odds on higher buckets. Upcoming platform developments or external events could still shift volume quickly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$18,107Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting patterns show high day-to-day variability driven by news cycles, company milestones at Tesla and SpaceX, and real-time engagement on X. Historical averages range from roughly 25-70 tweets daily in recent years, with occasional spikes above 100 during intense periods, yet the market's strong weighting toward 40-64 tweets over the three-day span signals trader expectations of moderate rather than elevated activity. Recent short-term samples reflect consistent but not extreme output, while the compressed timeframe and potential for quieter stretches around mid-August contribute to the clear lead for lower-to-mid ranges and minimal odds on higher buckets. Upcoming platform developments or external events could still shift volume quickly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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