Arsenal’s two-point lead with two fixtures remaining positions them as clear favorites in the Premier League title race, with traders assigning an 82.5% implied probability they will lift the trophy. The Gunners control their destiny after grinding out key late-season results, including a narrow win at West Ham and a statement victory over Fulham, while maintaining defensive solidity that has limited concessions. Manchester City’s 17.5% chance rests on matching Arsenal’s results exactly in their remaining games against Bournemouth and Aston Villa, plus superior goal difference to overcome any slip. Recent form swings, including City’s response with wins over Crystal Palace, have kept the chase alive but highlight how Arsenal’s consistent points accumulation over the campaign has built this commanding edge heading into the final weekend.