Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Greece 15%
Denmark 15%
Finland 13%
Australia 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
Greece
15%
Denmark
15%
Finland
20%
Australia
12%
Moldova
11%
France
10%
Israel
8%
Bulgaria
5%
Romania
5%
Lithuania
4%
Norway
4%
Italy
4%
Sweden
4%
Malta
4%
Croatia
4%
Latvia
4%
Ukraine
4%
Cyprus
3%
Serbia
3%
Czechia
3%
Germany
3%
Azerbaijan
3%
Poland
3%
Albania
3%
Austria
3%
Armenia
3%
Portugal
1%
Georgia
1%
Belgium
16%
Estonia
1%
United Kingdom
1%
Luxembourg
1%
Montenegro
1%
Switzerland
1%
San Marino
<1%
Greece 15%
Denmark 15%
Finland 13%
Australia 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 16, 2026
Greece
$336 Wol.
15%
Denmark
$104 Wol.
15%
Finland
$1,411 Wol.
20%
Australia
$104 Wol.
12%
Moldova
$44 Wol.
11%
France
$104 Wol.
10%
Israel
$104 Wol.
8%
Bulgaria
$44 Wol.
5%
Romania
$104 Wol.
5%
Lithuania
$269 Wol.
4%
Norway
$225 Wol.
4%
Italy
$59 Wol.
4%
Sweden
$44 Wol.
4%
Malta
$89 Wol.
4%
Croatia
$103 Wol.
4%
Latvia
$269 Wol.
4%
Ukraine
$44 Wol.
4%
Cyprus
$69 Wol.
3%
Serbia
$45 Wol.
3%
Czechia
$44 Wol.
3%
Germany
$222 Wol.
3%
Azerbaijan
$195 Wol.
3%
Poland
$293 Wol.
3%
Albania
$140 Wol.
3%
Austria
$190 Wol.
3%
Armenia
$114 Wol.
3%
Portugal
$279 Wol.
1%
Georgia
$291 Wol.
1%
Belgium
$129 Wol.
16%
Estonia
$269 Wol.
1%
United Kingdom
$269 Wol.
1%
Luxembourg
$269 Wol.
1%
Montenegro
$730 Wol.
1%
Switzerland
$432 Wol.
1%
San Marino
$286 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,719Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Wolumen
$7,719Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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